The Market Recovered, Did You?
Tuesday, May 6th, 2025
Recovery solved rubiks cube puzzle

Just one month ago, markets tumbled following the April 2, 2025, announcement of sweeping tariffs by the Trump administration. Investor sentiment turned quickly, and fear drove a sharp sell-off across major stock indexes.

Fast forward a month later, the stock market has fully recovered and even moved above the levels it held before the announcement. It’s been a dramatic turnaround. On April 9, 2025 the S&P 500 surged more than 10% in a single day, marking one of its best days in history. And to close out the month going into early May, the index posted nine consecutive positive trading sessions, its longest winning streak since 2004!

Investors Who Stayed the Course Were Rewarded

For investors that stayed the course, remained invested and stuck to their long-term financial plans, the recovery has brought welcome relief. Their portfolios are now back above where they were before the sell-off, despite all the noise and panic of just a few weeks ago.

But for investors who let fear guide their actions, who sold near the bottom or shifted into conservative positions, catching up will take longer. These decisions, often made in moments of panic, highlight a critical truth in investing: your behavior matters as much as your strategy.

The Smart and Rare Move: Buy Low

It’s also worth recognizing the minority of investors who did something difficult, but wise. Following the classic Wall Street principle of “buy low, sell high,” they saw the drop as an opportunity to invest more while the market was lower. While the strategy may sound simple in theory, it’s emotionally challenging to execute, especially when the headlines are filled with panic and volatility is high.

These investors have been handsomely rewarded for their discipline and courage. They didn’t know how long it would take for their investments to recover, and in many cases the new money contributed suffered short-term losses before gaining ground.

What Behavioral Finance Teaches Us About Market Moments Like This

April’s events offer clear lessons in behavioral finance, the study of how emotions and biases affect investment decisions. Here are three key takeaways and how to apply them moving forward.

1. Avoid Panic Selling: Emotions Are a Portfolio’s Worst Enemy

Behavioral Bias: Loss aversion and emotional decision-making

Loss aversion is the tendency to feel the pain of losses more strongly than the joy of gains. During market drops, this bias pushes many investors to sell in an attempt to stop the bleeding.

In early April, many investors gave in to fear and exited the market. But the sharp rebound showed just how quickly conditions can change. The biggest gains often come when they’re least expected. Missing those gains, like the massive jump on April 9, can do lasting damage to long-term returns.

How to avoid it:
Recognize that fear is a normal reaction, but acting on it can be harmful. A long-term financial plan coupled with a diversified investment portfolio should already account for volatility. When in doubt, lean on your plan, not your emotions.

2. You Can’t Time the Market: Consistency Beats Guessing

Behavioral Bias: Overconfidence and hindsight bias

Many investors believe they can get out of the market before it drops and jump back in before it rebounds. But history shows how rarely that works. April’s rapid recovery, including one of the largest single-day gains ever, demonstrated just how difficult it is to predict market moves.

Even professional investors struggle to get both timing decisions right. Missing just a few of the best-performing days can drastically reduce your total returns. And unfortunately, those “best days” often come clustered around the worst ones making them easy to miss if you’re on the sidelines.

How to avoid it:
Focus on time in the market, not timing the market. Stay consistent. The longer you stay invested, the better your chances of participating in the recovery and benefiting from compounding interest.

3. Don’t Let Short-Term Noise Distract You from Long-Term Goals

Behavioral Bias: Recency bias

When markets fall, it’s easy to assume that recent trends will continue indefinitely. Recency bias can trick investors into believing that a short-term downturn signals long-term doom. This mindset causes some to abandon their investment strategy based on fear, rather than fact.

But zooming out tells a different story. From 2008 to 2020, and now in 2025, we’ve seen time and again how resilient markets can be, even after steep sell-offs. Investors who looked past the headlines and focused on long-term fundamentals are once again on firmer ground.

How to avoid it:
Review your plan regularly and keep your perspective wide. Short-term volatility is normal. Your investment strategy should be built to weather it, without derailing your goals.

Final Thoughts: Invest With Discipline, Not Emotion

Whether you stayed invested, added to your positions, or made emotional moves you now regret, this moment is a chance to reflect.

The stock market has recovered, but not all investors have. Let this be a reminder, behavioral discipline is one of the most important skills in investing. The decisions you make during periods of uncertainty often have the biggest impact on your long-term success.

If you’re unsure whether your current strategy is built to help you stay grounded during the next downturn, now is a good time to revisit your plan.

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